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Projected Impact on Labor Productivity Costs of Cancer Related Premature Mortality in Europe 2018–2040

Marta Ortega Ortega, Paul Hanly, Alison Pearce, et al. Applied Health Economics and Health Policy (2023) 21:877–889

Between 2018 and 2040, cancer is expected to cause around eight million premature deaths (58% male). The cumulative projected productivity costs in this respect are €1.3 trillion, representing an annual average of €58.7 billion, or 0.43% of the EU-27 gross domestic product. Labour productivity costs are projected to decrease by 6% from 2018 to 2040. The highest cost region is Western Europe, where Germany and France will experience the highest cumulative losses (€288 and €192 billion, respectively). The costliest cancers, in terms of total costs related to productivity losses, are of the lung and colorectum (€264.4 and €116.3 billion, respectively). In terms of average productivity cost per death, the most costly forms of cancer are Hodgkin lymphoma (€301,157) and melanoma (€260,522). The novel information presented could help national policymakers anticipate possible areas for cost savings.

15 Apr, 2026